{"id":1152,"date":"2026-04-16T17:07:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T17:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/trois-coups-bitcoin-reteste-le-sma-qui-a-declenche-deux-crashs\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T17:07:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T17:07:00","slug":"trois-coups-bitcoin-reteste-le-sma-qui-a-declenche-deux-crashs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/fr\/2026\/04\/16\/trois-coups-bitcoin-reteste-le-sma-qui-a-declenche-deux-crashs\/","title":{"rendered":"Trois coups ? Bitcoin reteste le SMA qui a d\u00e9clench\u00e9 deux crashs"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00a0Bitcoin teste pour la troisi\u00e8me fois la r\u00e9sistance SMA \u00e0 100 jours. Un rejet risque un triple sommet et une chute \u00e0 59 800 $, tandis qu’une cassure ouvre la voie \u00e0 84 000 $.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Bitcoin se situe \u00e0 l\u2019un des niveaux techniques les plus critiques auxquels il a \u00e9t\u00e9 confront\u00e9 toute l\u2019ann\u00e9e. La moyenne mobile simple sur 100\u00a0jours est de nouveau au centre de l’attention et ce n’est pas la premi\u00e8re fois qu’elle importe.<\/span><\/p>\n

Selon<\/span> Graphiques Ali sur X<\/span><\/a>, BTC teste le SMA de 100 jours comme r\u00e9sistance pour la troisi\u00e8me fois en seulement six mois. Chaque rencontre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente s\u2019est mal termin\u00e9e pour les acheteurs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Deux rejets, un mod\u00e8le que personne ne peut ignorer<\/b><\/h2>\n

En octobre, Bitcoin a atteint le SMA de 100 jours \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 116 000 $ et a \u00e9t\u00e9 durement refoul\u00e9. La baisse qui en a r\u00e9sult\u00e9 \u00e9tait de 30 %, pour atteindre environ 80 000 $. Puis en janvier, le m\u00eame niveau a rejet\u00e9 le prix d’environ 97 000 $. Celui-ci \u00e9tait pire, un effondrement de 39% qui a fait chuter le BTC \u00e0 59 800 $.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aujourd\u2019hui, le march\u00e9 est de retour. M\u00eame niveau. Diff\u00e9rents num\u00e9ros. M\u00eame risque.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ali Charts a directement not\u00e9 la tendance, avertissant qu’un troisi\u00e8me rejet ici ne serait pas simplement un retrait. Cela signalerait une d\u00e9faillance structurelle de ce que l\u2019analyste d\u00e9crit comme un \u00ab triple effet sup\u00e9rieur \u00bb, qui pourrait renvoyer le Bitcoin \u00e0 son plus bas annuel \u00e0 59\u00a0800 dollars.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ce genre de d\u00e9marche serait un deuxi\u00e8me test d\u2019un niveau qui a d\u00e9j\u00e0 caus\u00e9 de s\u00e9rieux d\u00e9g\u00e2ts.<\/span> Le calendrier de r\u00e9cup\u00e9ration de Bitcoin s\u2019allonge \u00e0 chaque retrait plus profond<\/span><\/a>, avec des estimations indiquant pr\u00e8s de 300 jours avant que le march\u00e9 ne se stabilise \u00e0 la profondeur de correction actuelle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ce qu’une \u00e9vasion change r\u00e9ellement<\/b><\/h2>\n

Le revers de la th\u00e8se est tout aussi clair. Une cl\u00f4ture confirm\u00e9e au-dessus de la SMA de 100 jours changerait rapidement la donne. Ali Charts place la zone cible initiale entre 80 000 $ et 84 000 $.<\/span><\/p>\n

Plus qu’un simple niveau de prix. Une cassure dans cette zone confirmerait que la correction macro\u00e9conomique est termin\u00e9e \u2013 du moins structurellement. Le plafond tombe et les taureaux auraient leur premi\u00e8re v\u00e9ritable raison technique de pousser vers un terrain plus \u00e9lev\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

La relation de Bitcoin avec les actions plus larges s\u2019est consid\u00e9rablement resserr\u00e9e<\/span><\/a>, et cette connexion macro signifie que toute rupture nette de SMA a besoin de plus qu’un simple \u00e9lan cryptographique derri\u00e8re elle. Les actions, les flux et le sentiment ont tous d\u00e9sormais plus d\u2019importance qu\u2019il y a deux ans.<\/span><\/p>\n

La configuration en ce moment<\/b><\/h2>\n

Trois tests du m\u00eame niveau de r\u00e9sistance en six mois. Deux \u00e9checs. Un mod\u00e8le \u00e9pur\u00e9 qui se dirige vers un moment d\u00e9finitif.<\/span><\/p>\n

Les traders surveillent si BTC ferme une bougie quotidienne au-dessus du SMA, et ne se contente pas de l’exploiter. La distinction compte. Les m\u00e8ches ne comptent pas. Ferme faire.<\/span><\/p>\n

Le niveau de 59\u00a0800 $ ci-dessous n\u2019est pas seulement un num\u00e9ro de support. C’est le plancher annuel, un plancher structurel qui a d\u00e9j\u00e0 fait ses preuves une fois. Un troisi\u00e8me rejet du SMA de 100 jours remettrait ce plancher en jeu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Les taureaux ont besoin d\u2019une cl\u00f4ture. Les ours ont juste besoin d\u2019un autre rejet.<\/span><\/p>\n

Avertissement\u00a0: cet article est bas\u00e9 sur une analyse technique et des commentaires du march\u00e9. Il ne constitue pas un conseil financier ou d\u2019investissement.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Source : Live Bitcoin News<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0Bitcoin teste pour la troisi\u00e8me fois la r\u00e9sistance SMA \u00e0 100 jours. Un rejet risque un triple sommet et une chute \u00e0 59 800 $, tandis qu’une cassure ouvre la voie \u00e0 84 000 $. Bitcoin se situe \u00e0 l\u2019un des niveaux techniques les plus critiques auxquels il a \u00e9t\u00e9 confront\u00e9 toute l\u2019ann\u00e9e. La moyenne […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":1151,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTrois coups ? 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Bitcoin se situe \u00e0 l\u2019un des niveaux techniques les plus critiques auxquels il a \u00e9t\u00e9 confront\u00e9 toute l\u2019ann\u00e9e. 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