{"id":7029,"date":"2026-06-15T04:15:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T04:15:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/fr\/2026\/06\/15\/liste-de-controle-du-creux-du-marche-baissier-un-ratio-dit-toujours-non\/"},"modified":"2026-06-15T04:15:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T04:15:31","slug":"liste-de-controle-du-creux-du-marche-baissier-un-ratio-dit-toujours-non","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/fr\/2026\/06\/15\/liste-de-controle-du-creux-du-marche-baissier-un-ratio-dit-toujours-non\/","title":{"rendered":"Liste de contr\u00f4le du creux du march\u00e9 baissier : un ratio dit toujours non"},"content":{"rendered":"

La confirmation du creux du march\u00e9 baissier sur Bitcoin est absente. Le ratio SOPR se situe \u00e0 0,9, bien au-dessus du plancher de 0,55 qui s’est termin\u00e9 \u00e0 chaque cycle pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Le rapport \u00e9tait de 0,9 lorsque l’analyse a chut\u00e9. Ce nombre compte plus que la plupart des gens ne le pensent.<\/p>\n

Un analyste de CryptoQuant a publi\u00e9 jeudi des r\u00e9sultats indiquant que le ratio LTH-SOPR\/STH-SOPR est le marqueur structurel le plus coh\u00e9rent du Bitcoin.march\u00e9 baissier<\/a>histoire. Le d\u00e9bat ne porte pas sur le prix. Il s\u2019agit de savoir qui vend avec profit et dans quelle mesure.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Source:<\/em>CryptoQuant \u2014 Ratio SOPR Bitcoin (LTH-SOPR\/STH-SOPR)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Un ratio que personne ne surveille jusqu\u2019\u00e0 ce qu\u2019il soit trop tard<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Le ratio SOPR mesure l’\u00e9cart de profit entre les d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 long terme et leurs homologues \u00e0 court terme. Lorsque la moyenne mobile sur 60 jours de ce ratio se compresse \u00e0 environ 0,55, selon les donn\u00e9es CryptoQuant, chaque cycle baissier pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent est termin\u00e9. Pas approximativement termin\u00e9. Termin\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Les d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 long terme ont tendance \u00e0 cesser de distribuer \u00e0 proximit\u00e9 d\u2019un v\u00e9ritable plancher. Leur conviction tient. Pendant ce temps, les d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 court terme qui ont achet\u00e9 la baisse sont assis sur de faibles gains, maintenant leur lecture SOPR \u00e9lev\u00e9e. Ces deux forces font baisser le ratio. Cette compression \u00e0 environ 0,5, point o\u00f9 l\u2019\u00e9cart de profit entre les anciens combattants et les nouveaux arrivants s\u2019inverse compl\u00e8tement, est ce dont le march\u00e9 avait besoin \u00e0 chaque fois.<\/p>\n

Le prix le plus bas r\u00e9el arrive g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement avant que le SMA60 n\u2019atteigne 0,55. L’indicateur est une confirmation de la vue arri\u00e8re et non un signal d’entr\u00e9e en direct. Cette distinction compte plus que le nombre lui-m\u00eame.<\/p>\n

Ce que 0.9 signifie r\u00e9ellement en ce moment<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u00c0 0,9, les d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 long terme d\u00e9tiennent toujours un avantage sur les nouveaux entrants. L\u2019\u00e9cart se r\u00e9duit. Mais le r\u00e9tr\u00e9cissement n\u2019est pas la m\u00eame chose que l\u2019inversion.<\/p>\n

L\u2019analyse de CryptoQuant ne s\u2019arr\u00eate pas au ratio. Le Coinbase Premium est rest\u00e9 constamment n\u00e9gatif \u00e0 ses c\u00f4t\u00e9s. Un faible int\u00e9r\u00eat ouvert estcontribuer<\/a>\u00e0 l’image. La moyenne mobile NRPL est en baisse. Individuellement, ce sont des signaux doux. Ensemble, ils dessinent le m\u00eame sch\u00e9ma.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Source:<\/em>CryptoQuant \u2013 Profits et pertes nets r\u00e9alis\u00e9s en Bitcoin (NRPL)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Le graphique NRPL montre des pics profonds en territoire n\u00e9gatif au d\u00e9but de 2022, de fin 2022 \u00e0 2023, et de nouveau au d\u00e9but de 2026. Chaque groupe encercl\u00e9 correspond \u00e0 des phases o\u00f9 les pertes r\u00e9alis\u00e9es ont culmin\u00e9. Le chiffre actuel pour 2026 est tomb\u00e9 en dessous de 6 milliards de dollars n\u00e9gatifs. Le march\u00e9 baissierstructure<\/a>est intact.<\/p>\n

Trois cycles. Trois cercles. Un mod\u00e8le.<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Le graphique SOPR marque trois cercles rouges en 2015, 2019 et 2023. Chacun a atterri pr\u00e8s du plancher SMA60 de 0,55. Chacun d\u2019entre eux a pr\u00e9c\u00e9d\u00e9 une r\u00e9cup\u00e9ration sur plusieurs cycles. Le prix bas et la confirmation structurelle sont arriv\u00e9s dans la m\u00eame fen\u00eatre, mais pas le m\u00eame jour.<\/p>\n

Ce que le march\u00e9 actuel n\u2019a pas connu au plus bas de 2015, c\u2019est une inversion compl\u00e8te. Les LTH se vendaient \u00e0 perte. Les STH \u00e9taient \u00e0 peine rentables. L\u2019\u00e9cart s\u2019est compl\u00e8tement combl\u00e9. Le fond 2023 a imprim\u00e9 une configuration similaire. CryptoQuant a d\u00e9crit ces moments comme le moment o\u00f9 les vrais croyants ont arr\u00eat\u00e9 de vendre parce qu’ils avaient d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de r\u00e9sister \u00e0 tout.<\/p>\n

Le march\u00e9 n\u2019en est pas encore l\u00e0. Le ratio doit se comprimer consid\u00e9rablement davantage avant que ce signal structurel ne se d\u00e9clenche.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Source : Live Bitcoin News<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La confirmation du creux du march\u00e9 baissier sur Bitcoin est absente. Le ratio SOPR se situe \u00e0 0,9, bien au-dessus du plancher de 0,55 qui s’est termin\u00e9 \u00e0 chaque cycle pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. Le rapport \u00e9tait de 0,9 lorsque l’analyse a chut\u00e9. Ce nombre compte plus que la plupart des gens ne le pensent. Un analyste de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":7028,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7029","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nListe de contr\u00f4le du creux du march\u00e9 baissier : un ratio dit toujours non - France Live Bitcoin News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/fr\/2026\/06\/15\/liste-de-controle-du-creux-du-marche-baissier-un-ratio-dit-toujours-non\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Liste de contr\u00f4le du creux du march\u00e9 baissier : un ratio dit toujours non - France Live Bitcoin News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La confirmation du creux du march\u00e9 baissier sur Bitcoin est absente. Le ratio SOPR se situe \u00e0 0,9, bien au-dessus du plancher de 0,55 qui s’est termin\u00e9 \u00e0 chaque cycle pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. Le rapport \u00e9tait de 0,9 lorsque l’analyse a chut\u00e9. Ce nombre compte plus que la plupart des gens ne le pensent. 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Le ratio SOPR se situe \u00e0 0,9, bien au-dessus du plancher de 0,55 qui s’est termin\u00e9 \u00e0 chaque cycle pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent. Le rapport \u00e9tait de 0,9 lorsque l’analyse a chut\u00e9. Ce nombre compte plus que la plupart des gens ne le pensent. 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