{"id":7754,"date":"2026-06-25T12:16:40","date_gmt":"2026-06-25T12:16:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/fr\/2026\/06\/25\/un-grand-mineur-de-bitcoin-chinois-predit-un-crash-du-btc-a-42-000-44-000-dici-fin-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-06-25T12:16:40","modified_gmt":"2026-06-25T12:16:40","slug":"un-grand-mineur-de-bitcoin-chinois-predit-un-crash-du-btc-a-42-000-44-000-dici-fin-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/fr\/2026\/06\/25\/un-grand-mineur-de-bitcoin-chinois-predit-un-crash-du-btc-a-42-000-44-000-dici-fin-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Un grand mineur de Bitcoin chinois pr\u00e9dit un crash du BTC \u00e0 42 000 $ &#8211; 44 000 $ d&rsquo;ici fin 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Jiang Zhuoer voit le Bitcoin atteindre un plancher entre 42 000 $ et 44 000 $ fin 2026 selon une analyse cyclique.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Le mNAV de Strategy est tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 0,72, se rapprochant des niveaux observ\u00e9s avant le pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent plancher du Bitcoin.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><em><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Les pr\u00e9visions sugg\u00e8rent que le mNAV pourrait pr\u00e9c\u00e9der le creux final du march\u00e9 baissier du Bitcoin d&rsquo;environ six mois, une fois de plus.<\/span><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Le Bitcoin pourrait subir une correction plus profonde avant la fin du cycle actuel du march\u00e9, selon le v\u00e9t\u00e9ran de l&rsquo;industrie mini\u00e8re chinoise Jiang Zhuoer. Le fondateur de BTC.top estime que le Bitcoin pourrait atteindre son plancher baissier entre octobre et d\u00e9cembre 2026, avec des prix potentiellement en baisse jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 la fourchette de 42 000 $ \u00e0 44 000 $. Ses perspectives sont bas\u00e9es sur les cycles historiques du march\u00e9 et le <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/saylors-bitcoin-comeback-how-strategy-turned-debt-fear-into-a-48b-cushion\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">ratio de valeur nette d&rsquo;actif du march\u00e9 de Strategy<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, commun\u00e9ment appel\u00e9 mNAV.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Jiang Zhuoer relie les perspectives du Bitcoin au mNAV de Strategy<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Jiang Zhuoer a partag\u00e9 ses derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions de march\u00e9 via un message public sur X, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Jiangzhuoer2\/status\/2069859549818019872?s=20\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">soulignant<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> le mNAV de Strategy comme indicateur avanc\u00e9. Cette mesure compare le cours de l&rsquo;action de Strategy \u00e0 la valeur en Bitcoin d\u00e9tenue par action, refl\u00e9tant le sentiment des investisseurs envers l&rsquo;entreprise.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Selon Jiang, le mNAV de Strategy a r\u00e9cemment baiss\u00e9 \u00e0 0,72, se rapprochant du niveau de 0,70 enregistr\u00e9 lors du march\u00e9 baissier de 2022. Il a soutenu que de telles lectures indiquent souvent des conditions de march\u00e9 pessimistes et signalent que le sentiment est entr\u00e9 dans une phase de d\u00e9pression.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Le mineur a soulign\u00e9 qu&rsquo;un mNAV bas ne signifie pas automatiquement que le Bitcoin a atteint son prix le plus bas. Au lieu de cela, il a point\u00e9 les donn\u00e9es historiques montrant un \u00e9cart significatif entre le creux de l&rsquo;indicateur et le plancher final du march\u00e9 du Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"zh\" dir=\"ltr\">\u300a\u5bf9\u672c\u8f6eBTC\u718a\u5e02 \u89c1\u5e95\u65f6\u95f4&amp;\u4ef7\u683c \u9884\u6d4b\u300b<br \/>\u3010\u91cd\u8981\u957f\u671f\u9884\u6d4b\u8d34\u3011<\/p>\n<p>MSTR\u7684mNAV\u5df2\u8dcc\u52300.72\u4e86\u3010\u56fe1\uff0c\u56fe3\u3011\uff0c<br \/>\uff08mNAV=\u80a1\u4ef7\/\u6bcf\u80a1\u542bBTC\u4ef7\u503c \u6bd4\u503c\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u7f8e\u80a1\u8d44\u91d1\u5bf9MSTR\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e1\u4e3a\u6ce1\u6cab\u9ad8\u4f30\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e1\u4e3a\u60b2\u89c2\u4f4e\u4f30\uff09<br \/>\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e0a\u4e00\u8f6e\u725b\u5e022022\u5e745\u670811\u65e5\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u70b90.7\u3010\u56fe2\u3011\u3002<br \/>\u6839\u636e\u6700\u8fd1STRC\u5927\u5e45\u8131\u951a\u7b49\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/V5s0Q2S2Wy\">https:\/\/t.co\/V5s0Q2S2Wy<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/o9fqE9U80z\">pic.twitter.com\/o9fqE9U80z<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; \u6c5f\u5353\u5c14_\u83b1\u6bd4\u7279\u77ff\u6c60 (@Jiangzhuoer2) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Jiangzhuoer2\/status\/2069859549818019872?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">June 24, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Lors du cycle pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, le mNAV de Strategy a atteint son point le plus bas en mai 2022 alors que le Bitcoin se n\u00e9gociait au-dessus de 31 000 $. Cependant, le Bitcoin a continu\u00e9 de baisser pendant plusieurs mois avant d&rsquo;atteindre son creux de cycle pr\u00e8s de 15 500 $ en novembre 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Sur la base de ce sch\u00e9ma, Jiang estime que le <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/btc-news-strategy-will-sell-bitcoin-only-if-mnav-falls-and-no-capital-is-available\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">mNAV<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> pourrait \u00e0 nouveau servir de signal pr\u00e9coce pour un futur plancher du Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>Un mod\u00e8le \u00e0 long terme pointe vers un creux fin 2026<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Jiang a \u00e9galement bas\u00e9 sa pr\u00e9diction sur un mod\u00e8le math\u00e9matique \u00e0 long terme construit autour des <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/why-the-latest-bitcoin-selloff-looks-different-from-past-cycles\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">cycles quadriennaux historiques du Bitcoin<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Le mod\u00e8le suppose que la volatilit\u00e9 du march\u00e9 diminue \u00e0 mesure que la capitalisation boursi\u00e8re globale du Bitcoin s&rsquo;\u00e9tend au fil du temps.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">En utilisant ce cadre, il a projet\u00e9 un possible creux baissier autour du 31 octobre 2026. La pr\u00e9vision place le Bitcoin pr\u00e8s de 44 000 $, tandis que son estimation plus large se situe entre 42 000 $ et 44 000 $.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Il a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 que le mod\u00e8le a montr\u00e9 une meilleure pr\u00e9cision dans la pr\u00e9diction du timing que dans celle des niveaux de prix exacts. Par cons\u00e9quent, la p\u00e9riode projet\u00e9e reste l&rsquo;objectif principal de son analyse.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">La pr\u00e9diction arrive alors que les investisseurs continuent de surveiller les d\u00e9veloppements macro\u00e9conomiques, la demande institutionnelle et la liquidit\u00e9 du march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies. Ces facteurs restent des moteurs importants des <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/currencies\/bitcoin\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">mouvements du prix du Bitcoin<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> et pourraient influencer les tendances futures du march\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Jiang a \u00e9galement r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9 qu&rsquo;il a maintenu une approche de trading prudente ces derniers mois. Il a not\u00e9 qu&rsquo;il a r\u00e9duit son exposition au comptant et pris des positions courtes, s&rsquo;attendant \u00e0 une baisse suppl\u00e9mentaire avant que les conditions ne s&rsquo;am\u00e9liorent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bien que la pr\u00e9vision ait attir\u00e9 l&rsquo;attention dans tout le secteur des cryptomonnaies, elle reste l&rsquo;avis d&rsquo;un analyste plut\u00f4t qu&rsquo;un r\u00e9sultat confirm\u00e9. Les participants au march\u00e9 continueront de surveiller la performance du Bitcoin et le mNAV de Strategy pour \u00e9valuer si les sch\u00e9mas historiques se r\u00e9p\u00e8tent au cours du cycle actuel.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jiang Zhuoer voit le Bitcoin atteindre un plancher entre 42 000 $ et 44 000 $ fin 2026 selon une analyse cyclique. Le mNAV de Strategy est tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 0,72, se rapprochant des niveaux observ\u00e9s avant le pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent plancher du Bitcoin. Les pr\u00e9visions sugg\u00e8rent que le mNAV pourrait pr\u00e9c\u00e9der le creux final du march\u00e9 baissier [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":7753,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[52,497,1203,1204,502],"class_list":["post-7754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-price-prediction","tag-jiang-zhuoer","tag-mnav","tag-mstr"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Un grand mineur de Bitcoin chinois pr\u00e9dit un crash du BTC \u00e0 42 000 $ - 44 000 $ d&#039;ici fin 2026 - France Live Bitcoin News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/fr\/2026\/06\/25\/un-grand-mineur-de-bitcoin-chinois-predit-un-crash-du-btc-a-42-000-44-000-dici-fin-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Un grand mineur de Bitcoin chinois pr\u00e9dit un crash du BTC \u00e0 42 000 $ - 44 000 $ d&#039;ici fin 2026 - France Live Bitcoin News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jiang Zhuoer voit le Bitcoin atteindre un plancher entre 42 000 $ et 44 000 $ fin 2026 selon une analyse cyclique. 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Le mNAV de Strategy est tomb\u00e9 \u00e0 0,72, se rapprochant des niveaux observ\u00e9s avant le pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent plancher du Bitcoin. 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