{"id":363,"date":"2026-03-31T16:06:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T16:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/ph\/2026\/03\/31\/bitcoin-death-cross-flashes-malapit-na-ba-ang-final-capitulation\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T16:06:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T16:06:00","slug":"bitcoin-death-cross-flashes-malapit-na-ba-ang-final-capitulation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/ph\/2026\/03\/31\/bitcoin-death-cross-flashes-malapit-na-ba-ang-final-capitulation\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Death Cross Flashes: Malapit na ba ang Final Capitulation?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Muling na-print ang 3-araw na death cross ng Bitcoin. Ipinapakita ng kasaysayan ang isang panghuling 45\u201352% na pag-crash na sinundan sa bawat nakaraang signal bago magsimula ang isang bagong bull market.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Ang isang teknikal na signal na lumitaw sa pinakamadilim na punto ng bawat pangunahing Bitcoin bear market ay naka-print muli. Ang 50 at 200 simpleng moving average ay tumawid sa 3-araw na chart. Ang crossover na iyon ay may track record na karamihan sa mga mangangalakal ay hindi gustong maupo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ayon sa<\/span> @alicharts sa X<\/span><\/a>, sa tuwing tumatawid ang dalawang moving average na ito sa 3-araw na tsart, minarkahan nito ang huling washout bago magsimula ang bagong Bitcoin bull market. Ang data sa likod ng claim na iyon ay bumalik sa loob ng isang dekada.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tatlong Ikot, Isang Pattern<\/b><\/h2>\n

Ang 2014 cycle ang unang nagkuwento. Ang Bitcoin ay nagbuhos na ng 72% mula sa tuktok nito bago lumitaw ang krus noong Disyembre. Pagkalipas lamang ng 23 araw, bumagsak ang barya ng isa pang 52%. Iyon ang sahig.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pagkatapos ay dumating ang 2018. Pagkatapos ng 67% na pagbaba mula sa itaas, nabuo ang death cross noong Nobyembre. Makalipas ang tatlumpu’t tatlong araw, tumama ang panghuling 50% na pagsuko. Ang mga pangmatagalang mamumuhunan ay tinawag itong golden entry.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ang 2022 cycle ay sumunod sa parehong landas ngunit may twist. Ang presyo ay bumagsak ng 50% bago lumitaw ang krus noong Mayo. Eksaktong 33 araw mamaya, ang merkado ay bumaba ng isa pang 45%. Ang isang mas mababang mababang ay nabuo 156 araw pagkatapos noon, ang mga alichart ay nabanggit sa X, na kumukumpleto sa buong istraktura ng oso at nagbubukas ng pinto para sa susunod na cycle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tatlong cycle. Tatlong death crosses. Tatlong huling pagsuko ng mga binti \u2014 lahat ay darating sa loob ng isang buwan ng signal.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ang Sinasabi Ngayon ng Tsart<\/b><\/h2>\n

Nagsara ang Bitcoin sa $65,803 noong Marso 29, 2026, ayon sa kamakailang data ng merkado. Ang kasalukuyang<\/span> drawdown trajectory at recovery timeline<\/span><\/a>tumuro sa isang cycle na sumasalamin sa mga naunang bahagi ng oso sa istraktura. Ang bawat mas malalim na pagbaba ay may kasaysayang pinalawig ang pagbawi ng humigit-kumulang 80 araw \u2014 isang pattern na naglalaro na ngayon sa real time.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ang 3-araw na death cross, ang paliwanag ng alicharts post sa X, ay hindi lamang isang bearish signal. Ito ay gumana sa kasaysayan bilang isang orasan. Kapag nai-print na, ang huling pagsuko ay sinundan sa loob ng 23 hanggang 33 araw sa dalawa sa tatlong naunang kaso.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bukas na ang bintanang iyon.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sinusuportahan ng On-Chain Data ang Babala<\/b><\/h2>\n

Ang on-chain analyst na si Willy Woo ay hiwalay na inilagay<\/span> Ang potensyal na ibaba ng Bitcoin sa pagitan ng $46,000 at $54,000<\/span><\/a>gamit ang kanyang CVDD Floor Model at capital flow indicators. Ang kanyang data ay nagpapakita ng capital na umaalis sa Bitcoin mula noong Nobyembre 2025. Ang bleed na iyon ay tumutugma sa pre-capitulation behavior na nakita sa mga naunang cycle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ang mga polymarket trader ay kasalukuyang naglalagay ng 54% na posibilidad sa Bitcoin na umabot sa $45,000 sa pagtatapos ng 2026, ayon sa pag-uulat sa platform.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ang Crypto Fear and Greed Index ay bumaba sa 12 noong kalagitnaan ng Marso. Teritoryo ng matinding takot. Ang pagbabasa na iyon ay may posibilidad na kumpol malapit sa mga kaganapan sa huling pagbebenta, hindi sa simula ng mga ito.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ang Pattern ay Hindi Ginagarantiyahan ang Anuman<\/b><\/h2>\n

Ang nakaraang pagganap sa sample na tatlong-data-point ay hindi isang hula. Dalawa sa tatlong cycle ang nag-print ng capitulation leg sa loob ng 33 araw. Ang 2022 cycle ay gumawa ng pangalawang mababang pagkalipas ng 156 araw. Ang pangalawang mababang iyon ay ang tunay na ibaba.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kaya’t ang window ay hindi perpektong tinukoy. Ang sinasabi sa amin ng pattern ay ang death cross sa 3-araw na tsart ay hindi kailanman lumitaw sa panahon ng bull market. Nagpakita lamang ito sa deep inside nakumpirma na mga istruktura ng oso. At sa bawat oras na ito ay, isang panghuling marahas na paglipat na mas mababa ang sinundan bago ang presyo ay tuluyang nakabawi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kung nahanap ng cycle na ito ang pinakamababa nito sa $46,000, $52,000, o ilang antas na wala pa sa chart ng sinuman ay nananatiling makikita.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ang signal ay naka-print. Ang orasan, kung magtatagal ang kasaysayan, ay nagsimula na.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ang artikulong ito ay batay sa teknikal na pagsusuri at available sa publiko sa on-chain na data. Hindi ito bumubuo ng payo sa pananalapi o pamumuhunan. Palaging magsagawa ng independiyenteng pananaliksik bago gumawa ng anumang mga pasya sa pananalapi.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Pinagmulan: Live Bitcoin News<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Muling na-print ang 3-araw na death cross ng Bitcoin. Ipinapakita ng kasaysayan ang isang panghuling 45\u201352% na pag-crash na sinundan sa bawat nakaraang signal bago magsimula ang isang bagong bull market. Ang isang teknikal na signal na lumitaw sa pinakamadilim na punto ng bawat pangunahing Bitcoin bear market ay naka-print muli. Ang 50 at 200 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":362,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin Death Cross Flashes: Malapit na ba ang Final Capitulation? - Philippines Live Bitcoin News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/ph\/2026\/03\/31\/bitcoin-death-cross-flashes-malapit-na-ba-ang-final-capitulation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Death Cross Flashes: Malapit na ba ang Final Capitulation? - Philippines Live Bitcoin News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Muling na-print ang 3-araw na death cross ng Bitcoin. 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