{"id":7077,"date":"2026-06-14T17:04:46","date_gmt":"2026-06-14T17:04:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/ph\/2026\/06\/14\/bear-market-bottom-checklist-isang-ratio-ay-hindi-pa-sumasang-ayon\/"},"modified":"2026-06-14T17:04:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-14T17:04:46","slug":"bear-market-bottom-checklist-isang-ratio-ay-hindi-pa-sumasang-ayon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/ph\/2026\/06\/14\/bear-market-bottom-checklist-isang-ratio-ay-hindi-pa-sumasang-ayon\/","title":{"rendered":"Bear Market Bottom Checklist: Isang Ratio ay Hindi Pa Sumasang-ayon"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><strong>Ang kumpirmasyon sa ilalim ng bear market sa Bitcoin ay wala pa. Ang SOPR Ratio ay nasa 0.9, mas mataas kaysa sa 0.55 na sahig na nagtapos sa bawat naunang cycle.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n<p>Ang ratio ay 0.9 nang lumabas ang pagsusuri. Ang numerong iyon ay mas mahalaga kaysa sa iniisip ng karamihan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isang analyst mula sa CryptoQuant ang naglabas ng mga natuklasan noong Huwebes na tumutukoy sa LTH-SOPR at STH-SOPR ratio bilang pinakapare-parehong structural marker sa kasaysayan ng <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/6a2e5415a8af494cbea1f68b-The-On-Chain-Signal-That-Confirms-Every-Bitcoin-Bear-Market-Bottom\">bear market<\/a> ng Bitcoin. Ang argumento ay hindi tungkol sa presyo. Ito ay tungkol sa kung sino ang nagbebenta nang may tubo at kung gaano kalaki.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-166421 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/ph\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-30-1100x619-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Pinagmulan: <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/6a2e5415a8af494cbea1f68b-The-On-Chain-Signal-That-Confirms-Every-Bitcoin-Bear-Market-Bottom\"><em>CryptoQuant \u2014 Bitcoin SOPR Ratio (LTH-SOPR\/STH-SOPR)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong>Isang Ratio na Walang Pinapanood Hanggang Huli Na<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Ang SOPR Ratio ay sumusukat sa pagitan ng tubo sa pagitan ng mga long-term holder at ng kanilang mga short-term na katapat. Kapag ang 60-araw na moving average ng ratio na iyon ay lumiliit sa humigit-kumulang 0.55, ayon sa data ng CryptoQuant, ang bawat naunang bear cycle ay natapos na. Hindi humigit-kumulang natapos. Talagang natapos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ang mga long-term holder ay may posibilidad na huminto sa pamamahagi malapit sa isang tunay na ilalim. Nananatili ang kanilang paninindigan. Samantala, ang mga short-term holder na bumili sa pagbaba ay nakakabit sa manipis na kita, pinapanatiling mataas ang kanilang SOPR reading. Ang dalawang puwersang ito ay pumipilit sa ratio na bumaba. Ang pagliit na iyon sa humigit-kumulang 0.5, ang punto kung saan ganap na nababaligtad ang agwat ng tubo sa pagitan ng mga beterano at bagong dating, ay ang kailangan ng merkado sa bawat pagkakataon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ang aktuwal na ilalim ng presyo ay karaniwang dumarating bago maabot ng SMA60 ang 0.55. Ang indicator ay isang rear-view confirmation, hindi isang live entry signal. Ang pagkakaibang iyon ay mas mahalaga kaysa sa numero mismo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong>Ano ang Ibig Sabihin ng 0.9 Ngayon<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Sa 0.9, ang mga long-term holder ay mayroon pa ring kalamangan sa tubo kumpara sa mga bagong pumasok. Lumiliit na ang agwat. Ngunit ang pagliit ay hindi katulad ng pagbabaligtad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ang pagsusuri ng CryptoQuant ay hindi tumitigil sa ratio. Ang Coinbase Premium ay nanatiling negatibo kasabay nito. Ang mahinang open interest ay <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/bitcoins-22-drop-still-doesnt-signal-full-capitulation-analyst-says\/\">nag-aambag<\/a> sa larawan. Ang NRPL moving average ay bumababa. Indibidwal, ang mga ito ay malalambot na signal. Sama-sama, pareho ang balangkas na kanilang iginuguhit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-166422 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/ph\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-31-1100x619-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Pinagmulan: <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/6a2e5415a8af494cbea1f68b-The-On-Chain-Signal-That-Confirms-Every-Bitcoin-Bear-Market-Bottom\"><em>CryptoQuant \u2014 Bitcoin Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL)<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ang NRPL chart ay nagpapakita ng mga spike na malalim sa negatibong teritoryo sa unang bahagi ng 2022, huling bahagi ng 2022 hanggang 2023, at muli sa unang bahagi ng 2026. Ang bawat nakabilog na cluster ay tumutugma sa mga yugto kung saan tumaas ang realized losses. Ang kasalukuyang 2026 reading ay bumaba sa ibaba ng negatibong $6 bilyon. Ang <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/bitcoin-supply-in-profit-nears-bear-market-levels-data-shows\/\">istruktura<\/a> ng bear market ay buo pa rin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2><strong>Tatlong Cycle. Tatlong Bilog. Isang Pattern.<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Ang SOPR chart ay nagmamarka ng tatlong pulang bilog noong 2015, 2019, at 2023. Bawat isa ay lumapag malapit sa sahig na SMA60 na 0.55. Bawat isa ay nauna sa multi-cycle recovery. Ang mababang presyo at ang structural confirmation ay dumating sa parehong window, bagaman hindi sa parehong araw.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ang mayroon ang ilalim ng 2015 na wala sa kasalukuyang merkado ay ganap na pagbabaligtad. Ang mga LTH ay nagbebenta nang lugi. Ang mga STH ay halos hindi kumikita. Ganap na nagsara ang agwat. Ang ilalim ng 2023 ay nag-print ng katulad na setup. Inilarawan ng CryptoQuant ang mga sandaling iyon bilang punto kung kailan tumigil ang mga tunay na mananampalataya sa pagbebenta dahil napagpasyahan na nilang humawak sa anumang sitwasyon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hindi pa naabot ng merkado ang puntong iyon. Kailangang lumiit pa nang malaki ang ratio bago umandar ang structural signal na iyon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ang kumpirmasyon sa ilalim ng bear market sa Bitcoin ay wala pa. Ang SOPR Ratio ay nasa 0.9, mas mataas kaysa sa 0.55 na sahig na nagtapos sa bawat naunang cycle. Ang ratio ay 0.9 nang lumabas ang pagsusuri. Ang numerong iyon ay mas mahalaga kaysa sa iniisip ng karamihan. Isang analyst mula sa CryptoQuant [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":7076,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bear Market Bottom Checklist: Isang Ratio ay Hindi Pa Sumasang-ayon - Philippines Live Bitcoin News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/ph\/2026\/06\/14\/bear-market-bottom-checklist-isang-ratio-ay-hindi-pa-sumasang-ayon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bear Market Bottom Checklist: Isang Ratio ay Hindi Pa Sumasang-ayon - Philippines Live Bitcoin News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ang kumpirmasyon sa ilalim ng bear market sa Bitcoin ay wala pa. Ang SOPR Ratio ay nasa 0.9, mas mataas kaysa sa 0.55 na sahig na nagtapos sa bawat naunang cycle. Ang ratio ay 0.9 nang lumabas ang pagsusuri. Ang numerong iyon ay mas mahalaga kaysa sa iniisip ng karamihan. 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Ang SOPR Ratio ay nasa 0.9, mas mataas kaysa sa 0.55 na sahig na nagtapos sa bawat naunang cycle. Ang ratio ay 0.9 nang lumabas ang pagsusuri. Ang numerong iyon ay mas mahalaga kaysa sa iniisip ng karamihan. 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