{"id":189,"date":"2026-03-30T04:05:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T04:05:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/vi\/2026\/03\/30\/planb-cho-biet-dinh-bitcoin-khong-xuat-hien-va-mo-hinh-s2f-dong-y\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T04:05:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T04:05:33","slug":"planb-cho-biet-dinh-bitcoin-khong-xuat-hien-va-mo-hinh-s2f-dong-y","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/vi\/2026\/03\/30\/planb-cho-biet-dinh-bitcoin-khong-xuat-hien-va-mo-hinh-s2f-dong-y\/","title":{"rendered":"PlanB cho bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec9nh Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd"},"content":{"rendered":"

PlanB cho bi\u1ebft Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00ec m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F ch\u1ec9 ra nhi\u1ec1u \u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u01a1n t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm do halving v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chu k\u1ef3.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

PlanB n\u00f3i<\/span>Bitcoin h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u<\/span><\/a>kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 trong \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Stock-to-Flow c\u1ee7a anh \u1ea5y v\u1eabn h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn ba b\u00e0i b\u00e1o tr\u00ean Medium \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xu\u1ea5t b\u1ea3n t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2019 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2020. Nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i b\u00e1o \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 Stock-to-Flow v\u00e0 li\u00ean k\u1ebft gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb Bitcoin v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng khan hi\u1ebfm ngu\u1ed3n cung.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u1ecd c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c tranh lu\u1eadn k\u00e9o d\u00e0i xung quanh chu k\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ecdc th\u00eam:<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Satoshi, Coinbase, BlackRock: Ai s\u1edf h\u1eefu nhi\u1ec1u Bitcoin nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026?<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F c\u1ee7a PlanB g\u1eafn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb Bitcoin v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm<\/b><\/h2>\n

PlanB \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1edbi thi\u1ec7u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 2019 th\u00f4ng qua \u201cM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh h\u00f3a gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb Bitcoin trong t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng khan hi\u1ebfm\u201d. Trong b\u00e0i b\u00e1o \u0111\u00f3, \u00f4ng cho bi\u1ebft s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh t\u1ea1o ra gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb cho t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u1ecd so s\u00e1nh Bitcoin v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea1c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 stock-to-flow.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 stock-to-flow \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng ngu\u1ed3n cung hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 so v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung m\u1edbi h\u00e0ng n\u0103m. V\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3, Bitcoin c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 17,5 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111ang l\u01b0u h\u00e0nh. Ngu\u1ed3n cung m\u1edbi h\u00e0ng n\u0103m l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 0,7 tri\u1ec7u xu, \u0111\u1eb7t Bitcoin g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi kim lo\u1ea1i ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"PlanB\u2019s
M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F c\u1ee7a PlanB li\u00ean k\u1ebft s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3, Ngu\u1ed3n|PlaB\/X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

PlanB \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Bitcoin h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2009 \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p h\u1ed3i quy l\u0169y th\u1eeba gi\u1eefa<\/span>gi\u00e1 bitcoin<\/span><\/a>v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 stock-to-flow. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed1i li\u00ean h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd gi\u1eefa s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cao h\u01a1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u1ecd c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 ra l\u1ecbch tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda c\u1ee7a Bitcoin l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i khi\u1ebfn t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng khan hi\u1ebfm gia t\u0103ng. M\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m ngu\u1ed3n cung m\u1edbi v\u00e0 t\u0103ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 stock-to-flow. C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh c\u01a1 s\u1edf cho tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng.<\/span><\/p>\n

PlanB b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch EMH<\/b><\/h2>\n

V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 1 n\u0103m 2020, PlanB \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t b\u1ea3n \u201cGi\u1ea3 thuy\u1ebft th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh l\u01b0u chuy\u1ec3n ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Bitcoin\u201d. B\u00e0i b\u00e1o \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch chung v\u1ec1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00ea b\u00ecnh cho r\u1eb1ng<\/span>Bitcoin gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda<\/span><\/a>\u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ebft tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 l\u1ebd ra \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

PlanB tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 sai Bitcoin v\u00ec c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00f3ng \u0111\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn. H\u1ecd li\u1ec7t k\u00ea c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, hard fork, v\u00f2ng xo\u00e1y t\u1eed vong c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 m\u1ecf, l\u1eeba \u0111\u1ea3o v\u00e0 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng 51%. H\u1ecd cho bi\u1ebft nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1ch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, h\u1ecd c\u0169ng so s\u00e1nh Bitcoin v\u1edbi tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu, v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu th\u00f4ng qua bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro. Trong so s\u00e1nh \u0111\u00f3, Bitcoin cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa m\u1ee9c mong \u0111\u1ee3i.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

PlanB l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ed5 \u0111i\u1ec3n kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u1ecd n\u00f3i th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n ch\u1ecdn kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn l\u1edbn n\u00e0o tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n halving v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ecd, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1eb1ng n\u1ed7i s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a<\/span>\u0110\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 bitcoin<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

L\u1eadp lu\u1eadn \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap \u00f4ng b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh khan hi\u1ebfm tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 v\u1ec1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00e0i \u0111\u1ecdc li\u00ean quan:\u00a0\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\n

Gi\u00e1 bitcoin \u0111i ngang g\u1ea7n 70 ngh\u00ecn \u0111\u00f4 la khi d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf chuy\u1ec3n sang ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

S2FX \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh tr\u00ean c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n Bitcoin v\u00e0 kim lo\u1ea1i<\/b><\/h2>\n

V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4 n\u0103m 2020, PlanB \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t b\u1ea3n \u201cM\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n ch\u00e9o Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow\u201d, c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 S2FX.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t ra ngo\u00e0i bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Bitcoin theo chu\u1ed7i th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n. N\u00f3 coi th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 h\u1eadu halving c\u1ee7a Bitcoin l\u00e0 c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ri\u00eang bi\u1ec7t v\u1edbi vai tr\u00f2 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ri\u00eang bi\u1ec7t.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u1ecd nh\u00f3m l\u1ecbch s\u1eed Bitcoin th\u00e0nh b\u1ed1n giai \u0111o\u1ea1n. Nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m, thanh to\u00e1n, v\u00e0ng \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0<\/span>t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh<\/span><\/a>. M\u1ed7i giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ri\u00eang trong m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh.<\/span><\/p>\n

PlanB sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 th\u00eam b\u1ea1c v\u00e0 v\u00e0ng v\u00e0o c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t khung h\u1ed3i quy. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 l\u01b0u chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng t\u1ed3n kho tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf log-log. B\u00e0i b\u00e1o cho bi\u1ebft m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o ra s\u1ef1 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea r\u1ea5t ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p tr\u00ean t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u.<\/span><\/p>\n

Phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bcho giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2020 \u0111\u1ebfn 2024 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin. PlanB \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea7n 5,5 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 USD. D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean kho\u1ea3ng 19 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 ra gi\u00e1 Bitcoin g\u1ea7n 288.000 USD.<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u1ed9p l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi nhau, ba b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean gi\u1edbi thi\u1ec7u m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh khan hi\u1ebfm, ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u1ee9 hai b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 n\u00f3 v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u1ee9 ba m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng n\u00f3. Khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 \u0111\u00f3 v\u1eabn gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch t\u1ea1i sao PlanB cho bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec9nh Bitcoin ch\u01b0a xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm cao h\u01a1n sau khi gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda v\u1eabn c\u00f2n c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng th\u00eam.<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Live Bitcoin News<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

PlanB cho bi\u1ebft Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00ec m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F ch\u1ec9 ra nhi\u1ec1u \u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u01a1n t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm do halving v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chu k\u1ef3. PlanB n\u00f3iBitcoin h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7ukh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 trong \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Stock-to-Flow c\u1ee7a anh \u1ea5y v\u1eabn h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3.\u00a0 Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":188,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPlanB cho bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec9nh Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd - Vietnam Live Bitcoin News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/vi\/2026\/03\/30\/planb-cho-biet-dinh-bitcoin-khong-xuat-hien-va-mo-hinh-s2f-dong-y\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"PlanB cho bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec9nh Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd - Vietnam Live Bitcoin News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"PlanB cho bi\u1ebft Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00ec m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh S2F ch\u1ec9 ra nhi\u1ec1u \u01b0u \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u01a1n t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm do halving v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chu k\u1ef3. 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