{"id":210,"date":"2026-03-30T08:04:45","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T08:04:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/vi\/2026\/03\/30\/nghien-cuu-bitcoin-moi-cho-biet-chu-ky-halving-4-nam-la-co-ban\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T08:04:45","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T08:04:45","slug":"nghien-cuu-bitcoin-moi-cho-biet-chu-ky-halving-4-nam-la-co-ban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/vi\/2026\/03\/30\/nghien-cuu-bitcoin-moi-cho-biet-chu-ky-halving-4-nam-la-co-ban\/","title":{"rendered":"Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Bitcoin m\u1edbi cho bi\u1ebft chu k\u1ef3 halving 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>M\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Bitcoin m\u1edbi s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n t\u00e1ch gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng minh chu k\u1ef3 halving 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 BTC.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/bitcoin-traders-split-strategy-short-rallies-buy-the-dip\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Gi\u00e1 Bitcoin<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Theo m\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng tu\u00e2n theo m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Giovanni \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ph\u00e2n t\u00e1ch t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0o l\u1ecbch s\u1eed gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">C\u00e1c ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n cho th\u1ea5y chu k\u1ef3 halving 4 n\u0103m kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 tr\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean. Theo ph\u00e2n t\u00edch, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00ednh n\u0103ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch Bitcoin ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>\u0110\u1ecdc th\u00eam:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"sNnEdrNv65\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/bitcoin-price-analysis-goldman-sachs-sees-possible-btc-bottom\/\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch gi\u00e1 bitcoin: Goldman Sachs nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y BTC c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2><b>Gi\u00e1 Bitcoin \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chia th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c l\u1edbp to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Giovanni \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ph\u1ed5 \u0111\u01a1n, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 SSA, \u0111\u1ec3 chia gi\u00e1 Bitcoin th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ea7n c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n trong kh\u00f4ng gian nh\u1eadt k\u00fd, chi\u1ebfm ph\u1ea1m vi gi\u00e1 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb 0,05 \u0111\u00f4 la l\u00ean h\u01a1n 125.000 \u0111\u00f4 la trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u1ee7a n\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ngo\u00e0i ra, qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n r\u00e3 \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00e1u vect\u01a1 ri\u00eang ch\u00ednh. Ch\u1ec9 ri\u00eang vect\u01a1 ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 98,70% s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Giovanni m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 quy lu\u1eadt l\u0169y th\u1eeba, trong \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng theo th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ebfn l\u0169y th\u1eeba 5,7. C\u00e1c vect\u01a1 ri\u00eang c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i ghi l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c dao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp ch\u1ed3ng l\u00ean tr\u00ean xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">L\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c trong kh\u00f4ng gian nh\u1eadt k\u00fd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 \u00fd v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong kh\u00f4ng gian tuy\u1ebfn t\u00ednh,<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/vaneck-ceo-says-bitcoin-nears-bottom-in-4-year-cycle\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">chu k\u1ef3 b\u1ed1n n\u0103m<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">b\u1ecb ch\u00f4n v\u00f9i d\u01b0\u1edbi ti\u1ebfng \u1ed3n. Trong kh\u00f4ng gian nh\u1eadt k\u00fd, n\u00f3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 do vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 th\u00f4ng qua thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">C\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i, hai l\u0103ng k\u00ednh b\u1ed5 sung:<\/p>\n<p>Giovanni ch\u1ee9ng minh nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec7u 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ri\u00eang t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 log (kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh d\u1ea1ng h\u00e0m s\u1ed1 n\u00e0o).<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng g\u00ec t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m:<br \/>B\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn m\u00e3 ri\u00eang \u0111\u00f3 th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u1edbi\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 David (@david_eng_mba)<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/david_eng_mba\/status\/2038430991157723173?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">Ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2><b>Chu k\u1ef3 b\u1ed1n n\u0103m n\u1ed5i l\u00ean nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t m\u00e3 ngu\u1ed3n ri\u00eang c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Sau \u0111\u00f3, Giovanni \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed9ng, hay DMD, \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00edch xu\u1ea5t c\u00e1c m\u1eabu t\u1ea7n s\u1ed1 t\u1eeb d\u1eef li\u1ec7u. K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt n\u00e0y x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1i m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ri\u00eang Koopman.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u1eefng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec7u v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a dao \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ra c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 ng\u1eafn k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u1eeb 15 \u0111\u1ebfn 30 ng\u00e0y, c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd h\u01a1n, n\u00f3 t\u00ecm th\u1ea5y ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf v\u1edbi chu k\u1ef3 1.530 ng\u00e0y. Con s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 quy \u0111\u1ed5i th\u00e0nh kho\u1ea3ng 4,19 n\u0103m, r\u1ea5t kh\u1edbp v\u1edbi l\u1ecbch tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda kh\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ri\u00eang g\u1eafn li\u1ec1n v\u1edbi chu k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y \u0111o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 0,9985. Ngo\u00e0i ra, con s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f2n bi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb m\u1ed9t dao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 suy gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Giovanni l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng g\u00ec l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft nh\u00f3m t\u00e1i chu\u1ea9n h\u00f3a d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n cho c\u00e1c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p g\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Th\u00f4ng tin th\u00eam v\u1ec1 Bitcoin:\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"jK2hMCbF0r\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/satoshi-coinbase-blackrock-who-owns-the-most-bitcoin-in-2026\/\">Satoshi, Coinbase, BlackRock: Ai s\u1edf h\u1eefu nhi\u1ec1u Bitcoin nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026?<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2><b>K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft cho th\u1ea5y \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ch\u1ec9 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng s\u00e1u vect\u01a1 ri\u00eang \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh, Giovanni \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng l\u1ea1i<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/articles\/forex\/121815\/bitcoins-price-history.asp\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">L\u1ecbch s\u1eed gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ngo\u00e0i ra, vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb b\u00ecnh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng R l\u00e0 0,9678. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u00f3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u00f4 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1eed l\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t khung m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ri\u00eang bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ed5 sung th\u00eam b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf s\u1ed1c cung v\u00e0 th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a c\u1eeda s\u1ed5 cu\u1ed1n t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng n\u0103m 2015. N\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 ghi nh\u1eadn 200 trong s\u1ed1 200 l\u1ea7n ch\u1ea1y bootstrap th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ngo\u00e0i m\u1eabu nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n sau n\u0103m 2020.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">C\u1ea3 hai c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn chung.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ngo\u00e0i ra, ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch th\u1eddi gian gi\u1eefa hai ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p, 4,19 n\u0103m so v\u1edbi 3,797 n\u0103m, n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng v\u00e0i \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m c\u1ee7a kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian halving 4 n\u0103m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a Giovanni v\u1ec1 X \u0111\u00e3 t\u00f3m t\u1eaft n\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng:<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/giovannisantostasi.medium.com\/the-bitcoin-power-law-theory-962dfaf99ee9\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Lu\u1eadt s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh bitcoin<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">v\u00e0 chu k\u1ef3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n k\u1ec3. Ch\u00fang l\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u00e3 ri\u00eang c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><!-- source_url: https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/new-bitcoin-study-says-4-year-halving-cycle-is-fundamental\/ --><\/p>\n<p><em>Ngu\u1ed3n: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livebitcoinnews.com\/new-bitcoin-study-says-4-year-halving-cycle-is-fundamental\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Live Bitcoin News<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>M\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Bitcoin m\u1edbi s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n t\u00e1ch gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng minh chu k\u1ef3 halving 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 BTC. Gi\u00e1 BitcoinTheo m\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng tu\u00e2n theo m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i.\u00a0 Nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":209,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Bitcoin m\u1edbi cho bi\u1ebft chu k\u1ef3 halving 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n - Vietnam Live Bitcoin News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/global.livebitcoinnews.com\/vi\/2026\/03\/30\/nghien-cuu-bitcoin-moi-cho-biet-chu-ky-halving-4-nam-la-co-ban\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Bitcoin m\u1edbi cho bi\u1ebft chu k\u1ef3 halving 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n - Vietnam Live Bitcoin News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"M\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Bitcoin m\u1edbi s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n t\u00e1ch gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng minh chu k\u1ef3 halving 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 BTC. 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